Aktuelle Publikationen

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  • Matusche, Alexander; Wacks, Johannes (2023): Does wealth inequality affect the transmission of monetary policy? Journal of Macroeconomics. Elsevier. 2023, 75, 103474. ISSN 0164-0704. eISSN 1873-152X. Available under: doi: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2022.103474

    Does wealth inequality affect the transmission of monetary policy?

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    We provide evidence that higher wealth inequality between households is associated with stronger real effects of monetary policy. First, we use state-dependent local projections to show that the US and the UK exhibited stronger real effects of monetary policy in times of higher wealth inequality. Second, we measure wealth inequality within US states and document that economic activity responds more strongly to interest rate changes in states where wealth is distributed more unequally. Third, we show that ECB monetary policy has stronger real effects in Euro Area countries with higher wealth inequality.

  • (2023): Negotiating Cooperation Under Uncertainty : Communication in Noisy, Indefinitely Repeated Interactions American Economic Journal : Microeconomics. American Economic Association (AEA). ISSN 1945-7669. eISSN 1945-7685

    Negotiating Cooperation Under Uncertainty : Communication in Noisy, Indefinitely Repeated Interactions

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    Case studies of cartels and recent theory suggest that communication is a key factor for cooperation under imperfect monitoring, where actions can only be observed with noise. We conduct a laboratory experiment to study how communication affects cooperation under different monitoring structures. Pre-play communication reduces strategic uncertainty and facilitates very high cooperation rates at the beginning of an interaction. Under perfect monitoring, this is sufficient to reach a high and stable cooperation rate. However, repeated communication is important to maintain a high level of cooperation under imperfect monitoring, where players face additional uncertainty about the history of play.

  • Die Schlacht von Gettysburg : 1.-3. Juli 1863

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  • Chadi, Adrian; Homolka, Konstantin (2023): Under (peer) pressure : Experimental evidence on team size and task performance Managerial and Decision Economics. Wiley. 2023, 44(7), pp. 3769-3786. ISSN 0143-6570. eISSN 1099-1468. Available under: doi: 10.1002/mde.3906

    Under (peer) pressure : Experimental evidence on team size and task performance

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    Causal evidence for the effect of team size on performance is lacking despite the high relevance of this question. From an economic perspective, one would expect performance incentives to decrease with increasing team size, but the psychological phenomenon of peer effects could mitigate the free-rider problem. To analyze the behavioral implications due to changes in team size, we exploit a rich dataset from a controlled experiment with teams of either two or three participants of a university research project performing a real-effort task. Our study provides three main findings. First, increasing team size does not change team performance on average, which is a robust result, be it across performance dimensions and even when introducing pay inequality between two work periods. Second, positive performance spillovers from peer to peer alleviate the free-rider problem when team size increases. Third, changes in peer pressure due to changes in the transparency of others' performance could explain the variation in peer effects across team size. In contrast to discussions in previous literature, our evidence points to a potentially negative role of peer pressure for team performance. While lower peer pressure in teams of three allows for more positive performance spillovers, a high-skilled peer in a team of two seems to pressure the other team member to produce more mistakes instead of more work output in high quality.

  • Bertsche, Dominik; Brüggemann, Ralf; Kascha, Christian (2023): Directed Graphs and Variable Selection in Large Vector Autoregressive Models Journal of Time Series Analysis. Wiley. 2023, 44(2), pp. 223-246. ISSN 0143-9782. eISSN 1467-9892. Available under: doi: 10.1111/jtsa.12664

    Directed Graphs and Variable Selection in Large Vector Autoregressive Models

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    We represent the dynamic relation among variables in vector autoregressive (VAR) models as directed graphs. Based on these graphs, we identify so-called strongly connected components (SCCs). Using this graphical representation, we consider the problem of variable choice. We use the relations among the strongly connected components to select variables that need to be included in a VAR if interest is in impulse response analysis of a given set of variables. Our theoretical contributions show that the set of selected variables from the graphical method coincides with the set of variables that is multi-step causal for the variables of interest by relating the paths in the graph to the coefficients of the ‘direct’ VAR representation. An empirical application illustrates the usefulness of the suggested approach: Including the selected variables into a small US monetary VAR is useful for impulse response analysis as it avoids the well-known ‘price-puzzle’.

  • Three Essays in Microeconomics

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  • Anand, Amitabh; Singh, Sanjay Kumar; Selivanovskikh, Louisa; Ren, Shuang (2023): Exploring the born global firms from the Asia Pacific Asia Pacific Journal of Management. Springer. ISSN 0217-4561. eISSN 1572-9958. Available under: doi: 10.1007/s10490-023-09913-5

    Exploring the born global firms from the Asia Pacific

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    This study aims to synthesize the extant research on the Born Global Firms (BGF) phenomenon, mainly focusing on the Asia Pacific region (APAC). We adopt the systematic literature review methodology to identify the main context-specific drivers (‘success factors’) and outcomes of BGFs’ accelerated internationalization and the challenges they face before, during, and after global expansion. The analysis and evaluation of relevant studies reveal several critical variables that need to be extensively investigated (separately and in tandem) by scholars in order to advance existing theories and, at the same time, explain the out-of-pattern behaviors of BGFs outside the typical ‘Western economy’ context. Among the core variables are international entrepreneurial orientation and culture adoption, organizational learning and networking strategies, global strategic human capital and network resources (as predictors of BGFs’ international performance) and resource constraints, institutional and cultural distances, and liabilities of newness, smallness, foreignness, outsidership, and emergingness (as constraints to BGFs’ success). By identifying the research gaps and proposing a comprehensive framework with promising avenues for future research into the phenomenon of BGFs from the APAC region, this study helps enhance our understanding of the global strategy formation and execution processes of international new ventures from ‘the East’ and stimulate interdisciplinary dialogue between international business, strategy, and entrepreneurship scholars.

  • (2023): Trade Shocks, Population Growth, and Migration The World Bank Economic Review. Oxford University Press. 2023, 37(2), pp. 305-330. ISSN 0258-6770. eISSN 1564-698X. Available under: doi: 10.1093/wber/lhad009

    Trade Shocks, Population Growth, and Migration

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    This paper examines the effect of trade-induced changes in Mexican labor demand on population growth and migration responses at the local level. It exploits cross-municipality variation in exposure to a change in trade policy between the United States and China that eliminated potential tariff increases on Chinese imports, negatively affecting Mexican manufacturing exports to the United States. Municipalities more exposed to the policy change, via their industry structure, experienced greater employment loss. In the five years following the change in trade policy, more exposed municipalities experience increased population growth, driven by declines in out-migration. Conversely, 6 to 10 years after the change in trade policy, exposure to increased trade competition is associated with decreased population growth, driven by declines in in-migration and return migration rates, and increased out-migration. The sluggish regional adjustment is consistent with high moving costs and transitions across sectors in the short term.

  • Do Role Models Matter in Large Classes? : New Evidence on Gender Match Effects in Higher Education

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    We study whether female students benefit from being taught by female professors, and whether such gender match effects differ by class size. We use administrative records of a German public university, covering all programs and courses between 2006 and 2018. We find that gender match effects on student performance are sizable in smaller classes, but do not exist in larger classes. This difference suggests that direct and frequent interactions between students and professors are important for the emergence of gender match effects. Instead, the mere fact that one’s professor is female is not sufficient to increase performance of female students.

  • The Politics of Redistribution and Sovereign Default

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    This paper studies how distributional and electoral concerns shape sovereign default incentives within a quantitative model of sovereign debt with heterogeneous agents and non-linear income taxation. The small open economy is characterized by a two-party system in which the left-wing party has a larger preference for redistribution than the right-wing party. Political turnover is the endogenous outcome of the electoral process. Fiscal policy faces a tradeoff: On the one hand, the government has incentives to finance redistribution via external debt to avoid distortionary income taxation. On the other hand, the accumulation of external debt raises the cost of borrowing. Quantitative findings suggest that the left-wing party implements a more progressive income tax, is more prone to default, and has a lower electoral support than the right-wing party due to worse borrowing conditions and the distortionary effects of income taxation. In equilibrium, electoral uncertainty raises sovereign default risk.

  • Three Essays on Estimating, Filtering, and Predicting Financial Volatility

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  • Increases in Market Power : Implications for the Real Effects of Nominal Shocks

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  • Moreno Herrara, Lázaro; Teräs, Marianne; Gougoulakis, Petros; Kontio, Janne (Hrsg.) (2023): Meritocracy as a catalyst for the devaluation of vocational education and training MORENO HERRARA, Lázaro, ed., Marianne TERÄS, ed., Petros GOUGOULAKIS, ed., Janne KONTIO, ed.. Learning, teaching and policy making in VET. Stockholm: Atlas Akademi, 2023, pp. 420-447. Emerging issues in research on vocational education and training. 8. ISBN 978-91-7445-051-4

    Meritocracy as a catalyst for the devaluation of vocational education and training

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    The paper presents a research project that investigated the relationship between meritocracy and vocational education and training. In many countries, it can be observed that vocational education and training is not held in high social esteem and that a vast majority of young people prefers to go on to higher education. What is conspicuous here is a pronounced orientation towards the meritocratic principle. In the study, an ideal type of the relationship between meritocracy and vocational education and training was created, based on a synthesis of theoretical elaborations on performance/achievement, the merit principle, values and structures. According to the results, a meritocratic orientation acts as a catalyst for developments that contribute to the devaluation of vocational education and training. This leads, among other things, to vocational education and training only insufficiently fulfilling its qualification function and the employment market complaining of a shortage of skilled workers with a simultaneous surplus of academics.

  • Berndt, Ralph; Fantapié Altobelli, Claudia; Sander, Matthias (2023): International Marketing Management

    International Marketing Management

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    dc.contributor.author: Berndt, Ralph; Fantapié Altobelli, Claudia

  • Findeisen, Stefanie; Messner, Jennifer; Guggemos, Josef (2023): Dynamische, interaktive Visualisierungen : Erkenntnisse eines systematischen Reviews und Vorstellung einer digitalen Lernumgebung für die Domäne Wirtschaft KÖGLER, Kristina, ed., Ulrike WEYLAND, ed., H.-Hugo KREMER, ed.. Jahrbuch der berufs- und wirtschaftspädagogischen Forschung 2022. Opladen: Verlag Barbara Budrich, 2023, pp. 219-236. ISBN 978-3-8474-2628-8. Available under: doi: 10.2307/j.ctv34h090b.16

    Dynamische, interaktive Visualisierungen : Erkenntnisse eines systematischen Reviews und Vorstellung einer digitalen Lernumgebung für die Domäne Wirtschaft

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    dc.contributor.author: Messner, Jennifer; Guggemos, Josef

  • (2023): Committee Decision-Making under the Threat of Leaks The Journal of Politics. University of Chicago Press. 2023, 85(3), pp. 1107-1122. ISSN 0022-3816. eISSN 1468-2508. Available under: doi: 10.1086/723819

    Committee Decision-Making under the Threat of Leaks

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    Leaks are pervasive in politics. Hence, many committees that nominally operate under secrecy de facto operate under the threat that information might be passed on to outsiders. We study theoretically and experimentally how this possibility affects the behavior of committee members and decision-making accuracy. Our theoretical analysis generates two major predictions. First, a committee operating under the threat of leaks is equivalent to a formally transparent committee in terms of the probability of supporting the adoption of a new policy. Second, the threat of leaks leads to status quo bias. In our experimental analysis of a committee with possible leaks, individual behavior is often less strategic than theoretically predicted, which leads to frequent leaks. However, despite these deviations on the individual level, our experiment confirms the two major theoretical predictions.

  • Maurer, Stephan E.; Rauch, Ferdinand (2023): Economic geography aspects of the Panama Canal Oxford Economic Papers. Oxford University Press (OUP). 2023, 75(1), pp. 142-162. ISSN 0030-7653. eISSN 1464-3812. Available under: doi: 10.1093/oep/gpac009

    Economic geography aspects of the Panama Canal

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    This paper studies how the opening of the Panama Canal in 1914 changed counties’ market potential and influenced the economic geography of the USA. We compute shipment effective distances with and without the canal from each US county to each other US county and to international ports and compute the resulting change in market potential. The main elasticity would imply that a 1% increase in market potential led to a total increase of population by around 2.3% in 1940. We compute similar elasticities for wages, land values, and immigration from out of state. Tradable (manufacturing) industries react stronger than non-tradable (services) industries.

  • Felfe, Christina; Saurer, Judith; Schneider, Patrick; Vornberger, Judith; Erhart, Michael; Kaman, Anne; Ravens-Sieberer, Ulrike (2023): The youth mental health crisis : Quasi-experimental evidence on the role of school closures Science Advances. American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS). 2023, 9(33), eadh4030. eISSN 2375-2548. Available under: doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adh4030

    The youth mental health crisis : Quasi-experimental evidence on the role of school closures

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    During the COVID-19 pandemic, the youth mental health crisis has reached unprecedented levels. To which extent school closures, one of the most heavily debated pandemic measures, have contributed to or even caused this crisis is largely unknown. We seek to narrow this blind spot, by combining quasi-experimental variation in school closure and reopening strategies across the German federal states at the onset of the pandemic with nationwide, population-based survey data on youth mental health and high-frequency data from the largest crisis helpline. We show that prolonged school closures led to a substantial deterioration in youth health-related quality of life, precipitating early signs of mental health problems. The effects were most severe among boys, younger adolescents, and families with limited living space. We further provide evidence that family problems are a major issue that adolescents were struggling with when denied access to school. Overall, school closures largely explain the deterioration of youth mental health over the first pandemic wave.

  • Moreno Herrera, Lázaro; Teräs, Marianne; Gougoulakis, Petros; Kontio, Janne (Hrsg.) (2023): International organisations and policy-making in VET systems of developing countries MORENO HERRERA, Lázaro, ed., Marianne TERÄS, ed., Petros GOUGOULAKIS, ed., Janne KONTIO, ed.. Learning, teaching and policy making in VET. Stockholm: Atlas förlag, 2023, pp. 370-389. Emerging issues in research on vocational education & training. 8. ISBN 978-91-7445-051-4

    International organisations and policy-making in VET systems of developing countries

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    Vocational education and training (VET) is considered to retain cultural patterns of work, vocations and vocation acquisition of a country and, thus, to be more resistant to changes in comparison with higher or secondary education sectors. One of the pillars of the stability of VET systems is actor constellations that are carriers of these cultural patterns. However, after World War II the influence of international organisations (IOs) as new actors in policy-making has started to be more obvious in matters of education, including VET.


    This paper reviews the activities of IOs in vocational education and discusses the question of their influence on policy-making in this sphere from the institutionalist perspective with a


    special focus on developing countries and countries in transition. The theoretical findings suggest that these countries have not fully institutionalised VET systems and, thus, more receptive to implementing policies financed and disseminated by IOs, but these policies show dependencies on the activities of IOs and have varied degrees of sustainability.

  • Gendered Effects of the Minimum Wage

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    Women are more likely to work in jobs with low hours than men. Low-hour jobs are associated with lower hourly wages and are more likely impacted by minimum wages that set a floor on hourly wages. We document that the first German minimum wage significantly increased women’s transition towards jobs with higher weekly hours. We construct and estimate an equilibrium search model with demographic and firm productivity heterogeneity. The model replicates observed gender gaps in employment, hours and wage and the positive relationship between hours and hourly wages. We implement the minimum wage in our model with a penalty to address non-compliance. Based on our model, the minimum wage primarily reduces the gender income gap through the gender wage gap. At its 2022 level, the German minimum wage reduces the gender employment and hours gap due to an upward reallocation effect, resulting in women’s increased participation in higher-hour jobs with lower separation rates. The upward reallocation effect is the strongest for women with children and varies by marital state and spousal income. While the minimum wage only modestly discourages firms from posting jobs, it shifts job offers toward full-time positions.

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